Tuesday, May 04, 2021

Experts say no herd immunity in sight

In case you are still following the sort of experts who are quoted by the NY Times, here is the ltest:
Now, more than half of adults in the United States have been inoculated with at least one dose of a vaccine. But daily vaccination rates are slipping, and there is widespread consensus among scientists and public health experts that the herd immunity threshold is not attainable — at least not in the foreseeable future, and perhaps not ever.

Instead, they are coming to the conclusion that rather than making a long-promised exit, the virus will most likely become a manageable threat that will continue to circulate in the United States for years to come, still causing hospitalizations and deaths but in much smaller numbers.

So wht ws the point to the lockdowns? Why were the schools closed? If this is right, then everyone is going to be exposed to the virus eventually anyway.

When they told us to flatten the curve, they did not tell us that it was going to make herd immunity impossible.

1 comment:

MikeAdamson said...

Herd immunity is unlikely to be achieved due to the declining daily vaccination rate. That's how I read it.