Term replaced with Global Majority

British news:

The BBC has come under fire for questioning if the term “ethnic minority” should be replaced with “global majority”.

In recent years, various organisations across the UK, including the Government, have dropped the acronym Bame, which stands for black, Asian, and minority ethnic, and in its place are opting to use the new phrase “global majority”.

The term was coined in 2003 by Rosemary Campbell-Stephens, a British-Jamaican academic, and refers to people who are “black, Asian, brown, dual-heritage, indigenous to the global south, and or have been racialised as 'ethnic minorities'”.

Campbell-Stephens said in 2020 that the group accounts for more than 80 per cent of the world’s population. ...

Last year, the National Council of Voluntary Organisations (NCVO) announced that it had adopted the term “people of the global majority” to refer to all ethnic groups except white British and other white groups.

They have a point. It is tiresome the way a lot of people use terms like "minority" to mean non-whites. Whites are a minority, globally, and are increasingly being pushed aside.

Policies in Britain and elsewhere have systematically replaced Whites with non-whites. Soon there will be no majority White countries.

California public schools are about 30% White, so it does not make sense to say minority to mean non-white. Whites are the minority in many big American cities, in California public schools, in London, and in the world.

Harris Secret Agenda Revealed by NY Times

VP Kamala Harris has been unable or unwilling to explain her agenda in interviews, and the NY Times has just revealed her secret agenda:

The Policy Record Harris Isn’t Talking About

As vice president, Kamala Harris has targeted racial and gender gaps in health care, lending and other areas. She isn’t running on that part of her record.

Paging through intelligence reports just weeks after she was sworn in as vice president, Kamala Harris was struck by the way two female foreign leaders were described. The reports used adjectives that, in her view, were rarely used to describe male leaders.

Ms. Harris, the first woman to hold her office, ordered up a review that scrutinized multiple years of briefing reports from various intelligence agencies, looking for possible gender bias.

The study found some questionable word choices but no widespread pattern, according to a senior intelligence official, one of five who requested anonymity to discuss the review. (None would disclose the words flagged by Ms. Harris because the reports were classified.)

Still, the exercise had an impact: Intelligence officials added a new training class for analysts on how to judge and assess female foreign leaders, according to another official.

The episode proved to be a preview of Ms. Harris’s priorities. The vice president put questions about gender and race at the center of many of the policy discussions in her office, aides and former administration officials said. Throughout her career, she pushed for policies aimed at systemic disparities and often used her bully pulpit to speak about what she saw as injustices.

While Ms. Harris’s allies describe this as a defining feature of her vice presidency — one that separates her from her predecessors, including Democrats — she is not running on this part of her record.

So as VP she gets regular intelligence briefings, and all she ever has to say is to complain about sexist language in the reports!

Just what one would expect from a low IQ DEI candidate. She has no grasp of any substantive issues facing the nation. All she can do is whine about racial and sexual equity. She will appoint incompetent Black women.

She explained in 2020 how she wants equity, not equality, so "Everybody should end up in the same place". Liz Cheney said she "just like Karl Marx."

Young Women Identify as Mentally Ill

Skeptic magazine has posted some studies:

Younger Americans (GenZ), particularly racial minorities, are more likely than other groups to agree that "companies should always prioritize hiring racial minorities before hiring white people."

24% of white, 51% of black and 47% of hispanic GenZ respondents agreed with this vs. 6% of white, 26% of black and 11% of hispanic Baby Boomers.

All these people are favoring illegal racial discrimination to punish White folks. I am not sure which is worse -- the young Blacks who think they are entitled to free benefits, or the Whites selling out their own race.

Here is another:

73% of boomer males: "No matter what psychological challenges I face, I will not let them define me."

72% of Gen Z females: "Mental illness is an important part of my identity."

So 72% of Gen Z females have not only been convinced that they have a mental illness, they embrace it and identify with it.

This is an alarming change. This did not happen by accident. It is the result of mental illness being promoted by schools, psychologists, and others.

What explains this? Do we really have an epidemic of mental illness? I believe mental illness is being glorified, and people are being pushed into it.

Truth and Trump shall set You Free

The Daily Stormer, the world's most censored site, writes:

White people in the West have definitely undergone very serious brainwashing. From the time of birth, people have been lied to about the most basic realities. It is a lot of work, and it is very painful, for an individual to break out of that brainwashing. It’s easier for people who grew up in conservative families. Modern conservatives believe most of these lies society tells, but they at least have a framework for understanding. If you grew up without the influence of conservative parents, understanding anything at all is basically impossible.

The essay mostly rants about Jews, race, and women. You may quibble with some of it, but a lot of it is stuff that was once accepted as obviously true, but now no one is allowed to say these things.

Tucker Carlson, at the Madison Square Garden Trump rally, said:

And the second reason that people love Trump when I put myself in this category it's why I'm here today, is because he's liberated us in the deepest and truest sense. And the liberation he has brought to us is the liberation from the obligation to tell lies…

Donald Trump has made it possible for the rest of us to tell the truth about the world around us. And that's the single most liberating thing you can do for people.

And what do the Democrats say? Their closing argument is that Trump must be a Nazi to hold an MSG rally.

From the above essay:

The core idea is that Jews are fundamentally opposed to all other peoples, with a special hatred for Christians. When we talk about “The Jews,” we are talking about a collective, rather than individuals. There may be individual Jews who disagree with each other, and there may even be Jews who disagree with the Jewish collective, but on the whole, Jews will always ask “what’s good for the Jews,” and they will put their own interests above everyone else’s. ...

Furthermore, Jews have perverse, neurotic tendencies, which relate to a desire to weaken the people they live amongst. ...

The reason Jews are like this is genetic. Behavior is usually genetic. Jews wanted to deliberately remain separate from the people they lived among. The Jewish religion preaches that Jews are chosen by their god because of their bloodline, that they are superior to everyone else, and they therefore must manipulate and control those whose labor they feed on. That’s literally what the religion says, it’s not something that’s up for debate. ...

America is not that old. The Jews have been doing this “separation” thing for two thousand years. Jewish culture is totally satanic and bizarre, and fixated on abuse. The things these people do are grotesque, and they are completely miserable. So, for two thousand years, Jews who lived in that culture had the option of just leaving. Any individual Jew who didn’t like that culture and didn’t want to be a part of it could have simply left, gotten baptized, married a Christian woman. And many of them did throughout history. But what happens then is the ones that don’t leave continue to breed with one another and strengthen the racial characteristics of a group of people who enjoys being a loathsome parasite, enjoys taking part in a religion that celebrates the murder of Christ and preaches that all other people on earth are “human animals.” The Jews purified their blood in this manner, creating a race of super parasites.

Yes, a lot of behavior trait are heritable. To what extent Jewish trait are genetic or cultural is hard to say. More research could tell us, if it were permitted.

The other races – everyone other than whites – is aware that they are members of groups and they act on this. Whites, ironically because of various genetic traits, have been convinced that “race does not exist,” and that it is evil to be a part of a group and work for group interests. Whites are being dispossessed without even understanding what is happening because their heads have been filled with psychobabble from the Jews. Everyone coming into our countries is trying to get whatever they can get for themselves, their families, and their racial group, while we go around oblivious, convinced these people coming in are all just random individuals.

It is funny how all ethnic groups look out for their own group interests, except for Whites.

The harshest words are about women.

Basically, just like they tell you that the races are all the same, they tell you women are the same as men. Women know this isn’t true, but the lie benefits them, so they naturally promote it. With women, everything is about sex, because sex is the only thing women have to offer, and offering sex to the best man is the only way they can achieve anything. Sex is the only way a woman can interact with the world, and her only important decisions are about sex. ...

The core idea is this: women are physically weak and everything they have is from men. ...

Although women relate to the world through sex, their actual drive for sex is very low, unless they are ovulating. They enjoy using their sexuality to influence men, with the goal of acquiring both emotional and physical resources. ...

The reason we do not have families in the West (or Asia) anymore is because young women would much prefer to go around manipulating all the men they can find, feeling very good about themselves. In modern Western society, from puberty until the mid to late twenties, a woman is basically like a god, capable of manipulating any men in her vicinity. They crave attention because they do not have their own self-esteem and thus must have it externally formed. ...

The unfortunate part is that our ancestors – most of our grandparents, definitely our great-grandparents – knew all of this without having to have it explained to them (with the exception maybe being the Jews, but they could simply observe the Jews and draw obvious conclusions, because they hadn’t been brainwashed to believe that groups do not exist).

The other people that understand all of this are all nonwhite people. You’re not going to find any nonwhite person who thinks “all races are the same” or that “women are equal.”

For saying stuff like this, Google stole their domain name and gave it to some bitcoin scammers.

Kamala: Hawk Tuah!

I can no longer take Kamala Harris seriously. Her interviews are embarrassingly bad. She is unable or unwilling to answer any questions. She is the worst I have seen. She makes Joe Biden seem intelligent and competent.

Sometimes she babbles about herself. Sometimes she launches into an irrelevant anti-Trump rant. Sometimes it is a meaningless word salad. It never answers the question.

In friendly interviews, she has been given numerous opportunities to define herself, to explain her agenda, to differentiate herself from Biden, and to present herself as a relatable human being. She fails miserably.

She has never successfully accomplished anything. What she has done is either wrong or plagiarized. She tells obvious lies such as saying she raised children. She contradicts herself, without any explanation.

The only position that she explains at all is being pro-abortion. Even that is pitiful. She says that she wants to bring back Roe v Wade, but that is impossible. I guess she wants to nationalize late-term abortions. Seems foolish to me, as Congress could just as easily ban late-term abortions.

She is the political equivalent of the hawk tuah girl. That girl got famous when she appeared in a 7-second video that became an internet meme. It was a good 7 seconds of entertainment, but it does not make her presidential material.

There is no serious argument for Harris. There are intellectuals who support her, but they fall into these categories: (1) Trump-haters who dislike his personality; (2) anti-straight-white-male identity politics; (3) neocons and others who believe in perpetual war; (4) pro-abortion activists; (5) govt workers and others with long-term allegiances to the Democrat Party; and (6) businesses who profit from cheap imported labor.

Some point to successes of the Biden administration, but she says that she will turn the page on that, and will not be a continuation.

It is impossible to take her seriously. All I have to say about her is Hawk tuah.

Vote Against the Narcissist

Everybody consider Donald Trump a narcissist, but see: Is Trump Dangerous? A Psychological Analysis | Dr. Jordan B. Peterson | EP 492:

Dr. Jordan B. Peterson walks the psychological edge, breaking down the personality types of Donald Trump and his coalition of supporters: Elon Musk, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, Vivek Ramaswamy, and JD Vance.

On the other hand, Kamala Harris is more of a narcissist. She insists on talking about herself all the time. Her whole campaign message is to say vote for her, because she is a good person. Trump does not talk like that.

Anyone who runs for President must be on an ego trip. Sure. Trump is a narcissist in that sense. But his candidacy is about making America great, not promoting himself. If he wanted an easy life, he could have retired in 2021. He would have been credited as a great President, and not been prosecuted for anything. And not be shot.

Harris has nothing but blind ambition, and a sense of entitlement. A pathological narcissist. She has all of the worst qualities of Hillary Clinton, and none of her better qualities. Harris is like the Hawk tuah girl.

Harris reminds me of this Jack Nicholson quote:

- Receptionist: How do you write women so well?

- Melvin Udall: I think of a man, and I take away reason and accountability.

She is like a male candidate, with reason and accountability removed.

Nothing she ever says shows any ability to reason, or shows any willingness to be accountable for anything.

I am not sure women even notice these deficiencies. A lot of them just seem happy that Harris promises that they will have no accountability for their pregnancies.

Men do. Men see Harris as lacking the necessities for office. From a recent poll:

Eighty-four percent of voters who say that Trump is “completely masculine” also say that they’ll vote for him, compared to just 24 percent of those who say that he’s not completely masculine. Similarly, Trump has 72 percent support among voters who say that he’s not at all feminine, but only 37 percent support among voters who say that he has any feminine traits.

So what do the intellectuals say? Yahoo reports:

More than eighty Nobel Prize laureates published an open letter on Thursday declaring that the scientific policies of Vice President Kamala Harris are “vastly superior” to the ones proposed by her opponent, former President Donald Trump.

Not exactly. The open letter says nothing about her policies. It has no quotes or referentces. It says:

The enormous increases in living standards and life expectancies over the past two centuries are largely the result of advances in science and technology. Kamala Harris recognizes this ... Should Donald Trump win the presidential election, he would undermine future US leadership

Really? That is the best they can say?

I am not sure what is going on here, but no one would vote for Harris for these reasons. Has Harris ever shown an understanding of anything in science and tech? Any more than Trump? When and where?

Trump was President in 2017-2020. Did he undermine US leadership?

One of the signers was Daron Acemoglu, who just got the Bank of Sweden prize, sometimes called a Nobel. I posted reasons for saying he is a charlatan. He has grand theories for how the world works, but he never shows that they are any better than the obvious competing theories. And now he endorses Harris, without any substantive explanation for how she is better than her rival. Maybe there is a pattern here.

Let Kids Walk Home

John Stossel reports:

Why Letting Your Kid Walk Home Alone Could Land You in Jail

A mother was ARRESTED for letting her 8-year-old son walk half a mile home. Prosecutors said she put her kid “in imminent danger of death.” Really?

Not just arrested, but charged with a felony and coerced into a plea bargain.

A comment:

The true villain here is the busy body who called police. This country is infested with hags.

When I was 8 years old, I walked farther than that from school to home every day.

Yes, the busybody is evil, but the police and prosecutors and judges are the ones in authority, and they should know better.

Here is a worse story:

A Prunedale [California] father has been sentenced to 10 years in prison for the negligent death of his autistic daughter.

Jermain Gonzalez, 43, agreed to plead no contest after being charged in the death of his daughter, who was killed when she was hit by a car while trying to cross Highway 101 in 2023.

Gonzalez was charged by the Monterey County district attorney's office with second-degree murder, voluntary manslaughter and three counts of felony child abuse.

10 years in prison? That should be for real criminal. The story says authorities knew about a history of negligence, but if so, why aren't those authorities going to prison for 10 years? They could have acted if it were so serious. And if not so serious, why is he getting 10 years? I do not agree with criminalizing parenting mistakes.

LA Times Refuses Unbiased Editorial

NPR Radio reports:

LA Times owner Patrick Soon-Shiong said the board was asked to do a factual analysis of the policies of Harris and Republican former President Donald Trump during their time at the White House.

Additionally, "The board was asked to provide (its) understanding of the policies and plans enunciated by the candidates during this campaign and its potential effect on the nation in the next four years,” he wrote. “In this way, with this clear and non-partisan information side-by-side, our readers could decide who would be worthy of being president for the next four years.”

The editorials editor refused, and resigned in protest.

Update: The left-wing Wash. Post also refuses to endorse a candidate!

Locked in a Struggle with a Decadent West

Ever wonder why we are siding with Ukraine, when it is no more free or democratic than Russia?

Apparently Russia is hated because it resists Western decadence.

Reuters reports:

Laws that would ban "propaganda" which discourages Russians from having children won overwhelming approval on Thursday in the first stage of their passage through parliament, part of a Kremlin drive to boost the country's flagging birth rate.

The move to outlaw content that is deemed to promote a child-free lifestyle won unanimous backing from members of the lower house, the Duma, in the first of three required readings.

"It is important to protect people, primarily the younger generation, from having the ideology of childlessness imposed on them on the internet, in the media, in movies, and in advertising," said Duma speaker Vyacheslav Volodin, a powerful ally of President Vladimir Putin.

"We continue to form a unified legal framework for the protection of children, families, and traditional values."

Putin, who portrays Russia as a bastion of moral values locked in an existential struggle with a decadent West, has encouraged women to have at least three children to secure the demographic future of the country.

I favor free speech, but it is interesting how Putin has the guts to do what he thinks is necessary to save his country.

Lawfare is Jihad Against Our Country

James Howard Kunstler writes:

No band of scoundrels has brought more chaos and grief to the life of this republic than the claque that gathers darkly under the banner of “Lawfare.” ...

Marc Elias was the original expeditor of the RussiaGate hoax in 2016 from his perch at Perkins Coie, then Hillary Clinton’s campaign law firm, which laundered payments to Christopher Steele, front-man for Glenn Simpson’s Fusion GPS political PR shop, which concocted the fraudulent “dossier” and set in motion a train of DC intel blob legal shenanigans aimed at defenestrating Donald Trump from the White House — the Mueller Investigation, impeachment, etc. ...

This time around, 2024, Mr. Elias has done everything possible to ensure that millions of illegal aliens stuffed into swing states will have their putative identities attached to harvested mail-in ballots from addresses such as Walmart parking lots and storage units, and has filed lawsuits wherever a state threatens to require proof of citizenship for voting. He has also filed sixty peremptory lawsuits to obstruct attempts to audit any election count after November 5 — as if it is an affront to democracy to even ask questions about official misconduct.

A parallel Lawfare scam underway is the Democratic Party-sponsored 65 Project that seeks to disbar Trump-adjacent lawyers who attempt to challenge any voting irregularities in this year’s election. ...

Now I will tell you something that deeply troubles me and might trouble you. Forgive me if I throw the Overton Window wide open here. Readers may know that I am an American Jew. We have entered a new era of antisemitism. Many might say it is due to the conduct of Israel warring against its enemies. I would say it is as much due to the adoption of Jihad politics by the Marxist-Woke campaign as an instrument to promote political and social chaos in America. Lawfare is essentially jihad waged via the courts against our own disintegrating common culture and national interests.

The lineup of the leading Lawfare attorneys are Jews: Marc Elias, Norm Eisen, Benjamin Wittes, Andrew Weissmann, Michael Bromwich, Michael Sussmann, Laurence Tribe, Daniel Goldman, Paul Rosenzweig, the exceptionally profligate serial liar Rep. Adam Schiff, and many others. I can’t say I understand exactly what motivates them to engage in these antics. (Possibly to defend their Deep State clients against many previous crimes committed since 2016, especially within the FBI and DOJ.) But it’s a really bad look on top of being a nefarious agenda. They are disgracing the rest of us American Jews and putting us in danger. Shame on them. They must be defeated, and their defeat must come within the arena of the very law they work so hard to pervert.

Trump believes in Racehorse Theory

SciAm published this essay:

Eugenics was debunked as both biologically unsound and morally repugnant decades ago, but Donald Trump has repackaged its key lies to appeal to 21st-century American anxieties. In his worldview, there are hereditary haves and have-nots. Biology is used, not to draw attention to what all humans have in common, but instead to manufacture artificial divisions. It is a tool of dehumanization, meant to reinforce the notion that some people are inherently broken, inherently evil, inherently other.

There are hereditary haves and have-nots. Not everyone has the same inborn strengths and talents.

Sure, biology, like every other science, explores differences. For example, everything you eat is based on scientists having studied differences between animals, plants, feed, etc.

Appreciating human differences is what humanity is all about.

A rising tide of anti-eugenic scientists took issue with the biological myths undergirding his [Harry Laughlin's] vision. Genetic research on plants, fruit flies, livestock and humans revealed more and more about how chromosomes and genes worked. The human genome was found to be far more complex than eugenicists anticipated. There simply were no genes for crime or poverty, let alone leadership or honesty.

This is from a science magazine, so there ought to be scientific references to back up such assertions. Nope.

Crime and poverty are known to be correlated with IQ and other heritable personality traits. Hundreds of genes for these traits have been found. There is even a company that offers genetic screening of embryos.

He has been spouting this nonsense for decades. In 2007 Larry King was a recipient of Trump’s hereditary lesson. In touting his work for the how-to company the Learning Annex on King’s show, Trump said about talent and business success: “But there is something. You know, the racehorse theory, there is something to the genes. And I mean, when I say something, I mean a lot.”

Yes, some horses have the genes to be better racehorses. I never heard it called racehorse theory, but it makes sense.

I have to assume that SciAm would provide some evidence to refute the theory, if it could.

Obama and Harris, Compared

What do Barack Obama and Kamala Harris have in common?

Both are mixed race.

Both do not qualify as natural-born citizens, under strict definitions.

Both pretend to be Black, but are not descended from Black Americans.

Both grew up outside the USA.

Both raised as non-Christians.

Both pushed as DEI candidates, as if they were the antidotes for racial grievances.

Both campaigned on meaningless platitudes, without saying what they will do.

Both are Deep State puppets.

Is this all a coincidence? I do not think so. It is all part of a pattern to put America under the control of people are anti-American. I am still trying to figure out who is running the White House now.

A lot of people voted for Obama, thinking that he could heal racial divisions. He turned out to be the most racially divisive President ever.

Harris loses the Male Vote

Why do men despise Kamala Harris?

The Harris campaign has fallen behind, and has discovered that it is losing badly among men. It is doing well with the cat-lady vote, but not men.

Like Hillary Clinton in 2008 and 2016, she has only campaigned for the women's vote. She is not even trying to appeal to men.

Harris got where she is because she is a woman of color. Everybody knows it. Even endorsements of her say that a woman of color should have a turn at the White House. Some wanted to open a competition for the best candidate, but they were silenced by those who thought that it would be sexist or racist to pass over the woman of color who was next in line.

In other words, they want a DEI president. A lot of men resent being passed over, in order to promote an incompetent woman.

To illustrate the folly of DEI, compare the Artemis space program to Musk's SpaceX rockets. The whole premise of Artemis is that we put a man on the Moon in 1969, so we should put a woman on the Moon in 2030. Maybe even a woman of color. It is only fair.

Artemis has been a $100 billion boondoggle.

Meanwhile, Musk has been hiring Americans based on competence, and has advanced rocketry beyond what NASA thought possible. The Biden administration is suing him for hiring Americans, and not alien asylum seekers!

Consider abortion. Harris talks about how the woman should have complete freedom to do whatever she wants. She can kill the baby, or collect 18 years of child support from the man. It is entirely her choice. He has no say.

There is a sense of female entitlement, and lack of accountability, in everything Harris says and does.

Do men want someone like that running the country? Nope.

Here is a good Ben Shapiro video mocking feeble attempts to get male voters for Harris.

Harris fails the Kooky Left Litmus Test

Bill Maher is strongly supporting Kamala Harris, and predicting that she will win, but is concerned about this:

the voter's big doubt about Kamala is 5:24 are you part of far-left 5:26 insanity the attack ad I see 10 times a 5:29 day and a question Bret Baier aimed at 5:31 her on Wednesday was about her saying in 5:33 2019 that she supported providing 5:36 taxpayer funded sex change operations to 5:39 illegal immigrants in prison. something 5:42 that's actually never happened and has 5:44 no real bearing on anybody's life, but 5:48 it's a litmus test for voters out there 5:51 who want to know of the Democrat is 5:53 there anything your Fringe can suggest 5:56 that will ever make you say no that's 5:59 F***ing 6:10 ridiculous.

Good point. Is there anything on the kooky fringe Left that Harris rejects as too ridiculous?

No. When asked about that 2019 opinion about sex change operations, she continues to defend it. Likewise, she clings to her opinions supporting paying racial reparation and other radical measures.

I thought that her political advisors would have persuaded her that she needs to distance herself from radical leftists, and she can do that by disavowing some of their nuttier ideas.

There is no sign of it. She was once the most leftist of all 100 US Senators, and we do not see any limits to how leftist she will go.

Harris will Turn The Page on Trump

One part of the Fox News interview left me puzzled.

Interview transcript:

Bret Baier (15:55): We’ve heard a lot about those plans in recent days. Your campaign slogan is a new way forward and it’s time to turn the page. You’ve been vice president for three and a half years, so what are you turning the page from?

Kamala Harris (16:08): Well, first of all, turning the page from the last decade in which we have been burdened with the kind of rhetoric coming from Donald Trump that has been designed and implemented to divide our country and have Americans literally point fingers at each other. ...

Kamala Harris (16:49): That is about turning the page on rhetoric that people are frankly exhausted of, Bret. People are exhausted. Bret Baier (16:54): More than 70% of people tell the country is on the wrong track. ...

Kamala Harris (17:17): And Donald Trump has been running for office since-

Bret Baier (17:21): But you’ve been the person holding the office. ...

Kamala Harris (17:24): You and I both know what I’m talking about. You and I both know what I’m talking about.

Bret Baier (17:28): I actually don’t. What are you talking about?

Go ahead and watch or read it for context.

She is running for President and all she can do is complaint that her opponent is divisive? What was she talking about?

I have come to the conclusion that she means that she is going to jail Trump, and no one will have to listen to him again. She is not turning the page on Biden, or any specific policies. She is turning the page on Trump, to destroy him once and for all.

She has supported prosecuting Trump. She was a prosecutor for most of her career, so she ought to have opinions about one of the most prominent and outrageous prosecutions in American history, overseen by her Biden-Harris administration. She does not talk about it, except to agree with it.

Trump is not even very divisive. Harris is known to favor DEI, racial raparation, and various other anti-white and anti-male policies.

Democracy is at stake. The Democrat Party stands for censoring information, controlling the media, rigging the elections, and prosecuting political enemies. The prosecution of Trump is comparable to what is going on Brazil or Third World countries. The charges are made-up crimes that have never been prosecuted before. They were brought solely to sabotage Trump's Presidential campaign. Trump is not even campaigning for the White vote.

Vote for Trump, if you want freedom, peace, and prosperity. Vote for Harris, if you want to let her turn the page.

Kamala Harris Finally does an Interview

Here is the Bret Baier interview. It confirms:

Joe Biden is mentally incompetent, and a secret cabal is running the White House. That cabal forced Biden to withdraw, and to install Kamala Harris as his successor.

Harris is unable or unwilling to give a straight answer to a question.

Harris alternates between saying that she agrees with everything the Biden administration did, and saying that her presidency will be completely different. She says she will turn the page, but she does not explain what that means.

She says we should be afraid of Donald Trump using the government to prosecute his enemies, even though that is what Biden-Harris did, and Trump did not.

She launches into angry attacks on Trump, making an assortment of false claims against him, and then promises to get away from Trump's divisiveness.

She brags about getting endorsements from people like Dick Cheney.

She has no grasp of any economic or foreign policy issues.

All in all, the only reasons to vote for her are that she is on board with the Left/DEI/LGBTQ/anti-white/feminist agenda, and she is not Trump.

Watch the 27 minute interview yourself.

The Destructiveness of Mind Viruses

I am disturbed by this anonymous online comment:

It's worth remembering that about 20% of people are susceptible to being convinced they're sick or better (placebo and nocebo effect). That's the approximate number of people who report feeling better while ill by simply going to a clinic and seeing someone in white doctor's garb, and then going home. That's also the amount of people who will develop asthma-like symptoms when you advertise to them that the building they work or live in has mold issues with air quality.

And the most fucked up part is that while the disease is imaginary, effects are real. People can die from a nocebo asthma attack.

This is why advertising mental illnesses should be criminalized and punished harshly. Regardless of reasons for doing it. Because you're effectively infecting about 20% of the population with a mind virus that has real physiological symptoms.

Oh and the way to cure people with nocebo asthma? Doesn't work to tell them they have a mind virus, rather than a real illness. They will dismiss this. The only way found to be even remotely effective is to convince enough of them of something they can believe that like "yes it's real, but it's being worked on and your symptoms should slowly ease over time". And anyone advertising that "oh this guy in the left building told us it's getting worse" has a very good chance of making symptoms worse, even if said people never visited that building.

And DSM being as advertised as it is, is basically Grandpa Nurgle of mind viruses. Infecting a massive amount of people with symptoms of problems they don't actually have. With activists insisting on "awareness" being basically Chaos Demons of Nurgle, spreading magical plagues and poxes that cannot be cured by normal means.

Is this true? If so, this changes my world view.

I am used to libertarian beliefs where people have the autonomy to manage their own lives. And that people should be told about physical and mental illnesses, so that they can self-diagnose and treat their diseases.

This is foolishness. Much of the help is making people worse. I need to verify this. Maybe much of medicine is not even real.

Acemoglu gets Prize for Why Nations Fail

The Bank of Sweden prize went for this work, as described by Wikipedia:

"The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development" is a 2001 article written by Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James A. Robinson and published in American Economic Review. It is considered a seminal contribution to development economics through its use of European settler mortality as an instrumental variable of institutional development in former colonies.[1] The theory proposed in the article is that Europeans only set up growth-inducing institutions in areas where the disease environment was favourable so that they could settle. In areas with unfavourable disease environments to Europeans, such as central Africa, they instead set up extractive institutions which persist to the present day and explain much of the variation in income across countries. Other theories explored in the article argue that it is the choices of institutions within the country that result in the effective and efficient use of resources in leading to the successful development of that country.[2]

Acemoglu is Armenian-Turkish-American. He does grand studies of gigantic datasets with many authors, and publishes big theories for how the world works.

I have not studied this, but I suspect he is a charlatan.

It is an appealing theory to believe that nations succeed or fail on how well founded their institutions are. If so, then all those failing nations could be fixed by just teaching them to set up better institutions.

But this never happens.

Probably human capital and natural resources are much more important. I think he is rigging the data to tell people what they want to hear. No one wants to hear that some nations fail because they are hopelessly deficicient in some way.

Update: Noahpinion blogger has good criticisms of the prize.

Update: A Statistics professor writes:

I was talking with an economist today about the recent prize given to the authors of the very influential 2001 article, The Colonial Origins of Comparative Development: An Empirical Investigation. According to my colleague, many economists have issues with that paper, with issues regarding data quality, the weakness of the instrument, and problems of selection bias in the analysis. The concern seems to be that those data could be used to show just about anything. Which, as usual, does not mean that their theories are wrong, just that their data are consistent with other theories.

52% of Whites support Trump

Bill Kristol, the Jewish neocon warmonger Trump-hater, writes:

You want to know why Trump has a decent chance to win the presidency again? Because most white Americans support him. In the latest New York Times/Siena poll, Trump wins white voters by 52 percent to 44 percent.

Why is it only 52%? A Harris admnistration promises to be the most anti-White in history. She has even talked about making Whites pay slavery reparations. She is only on the ballot because she is the DEI candidate.

Pres. Biden got nominated by promising Blacks that he would appoint a Black woman to the Supreme Court, and a woman of color to be VP. That has been widely reported. Harris is promising the same sort of DEI policies.

Here is a pro-Kamala Harris ad, intended to appeal to real men. It is so bad that I thought that it was a parody.

Harris-Walz are betting on heavy support from non-whites, childless cat ladies, and younger women wanting assurances of easy late-term abortions. They are not even trying to appeal to White men.

Update: Kristol now tweets:

“If Trump wins on November 5, it will be because of his support from a majority of white America. As a white American, and a white American man to boot, I’ve got to say, in the immortal words of Pogo: We have met the enemy and he is us.”

Kristol is a Jew. He says he is white, but also says that white Americans are the enemy. Jews have been leaders in importing millions of non-whites into America, and some, like Kristol, openly talk about how they want to replace whites with non-whites. Of course he is also a Zionist.

Noticing Human Bio Diversity

The London Guardian reports:

In Sailer’s newly published anthology, Noticing, one essay claims that an “African population explosion” is related to a “primal African cult of fertility”. Another associates “young woman-of-color journalists” with “Haitian voodoo and Southern hoodoo magic”. Many offer variations on the claim that “Blacks have higher average levels of violent crime and lower average levels of intelligence”. ...

Sailer, meanwhile, has repeatedly denied in recent months that he is a white supremacist in response to reporting in the Atlantic. ...

His central claims include the idea that social racial categories – Black, white or Hispanic – have a biological basis, and that this is revealed in differences in intelligence and other attributes.

Scientists say this is wrong.

Joseph L Graves Jr is an evolutionary biologist and geneticist, a professor of biology at North Carolina Agricultural and Technical State University.

In 2021, he and Alan Goodman, the Hampshire College biological anthropologist, published Racism, Not Race, a book-length refutation of the “myth” that there is a “link between socially defined races and genetic variation”. ...

Throughout his career, Sailer has asserted that Black people are inherently more prone to criminal behavior than white people, and has used this as the basis for further claims about policing and politics. ...

“It’s impossible to blame the African American homicide problem wholly on genetic differences because there was a huge explosions in the black-on-black murder rate in the days following the death of George Floyd on May 25, 2020, when America’s progressive establishment declared it was time for the ‘racial reckoning’ and prudent police retreated to the donut shop.” ...

Sailer regularly claims that Black people around the world are less intelligent or more primitive than white people, along with advancing other bizarre claims and racist stereotypes.

In an essay in Noticing entitled Hair Hysteria, Sailer writes: “After having read hundreds of their op-eds and the like over the past few years, I’ve discovered that the No 1 topic young woman-of-color journalists want us to listen to them talk about is … their hair.”

He then proposes a cause that casts these Black professional women as primitive and irrational: “Due to the decline in prestige of white men, with their tiresome science and rationality, older ways of thinking are growing in influence. And hair plays an important role in Haitian voodoo and Southern hoodoo magic.”

So sailer says there are human racial differences. Mainstream academics say he is wrong, because there is no such thing as race.

If they are going to deny race, then they as might as well admit that Sailer is right. It is as if someone said that China is going to lead the world in industrial capacity, and someone else said no, that's wrong, because there is no such thing as China.

Movie about Transgendered Pope

From an upcoming new movie getting strong reviews, Conclave:

Premise
Cardinal Lawrence, tasked with organizing the election of the successor to the deceased Pope, discovers the former Pope had a secret that must be uncovered, concerning one or more of the candidates to succeed to the papacy.[2]

The secret (spoiler alert) is that the new Pope is a woman who has assumed a male gender identity.

No, I have not seen it. Just alerting everyone that this is anti-Catholic propaganda. A woman cannot be a Pope.

Trans Families for Harris

Here is amazing clip from the trans families for Harris:

I've now obtained footage from a new one this is from the trans 11:37 families for Harris organization and um they had their own Zoom call and in this 11:43 call several parents said that they support KL Harris because they want the 11:48 ability to change their child's gender despite the fact that changing their child's gender is you know of course medically and scientifically impossible 11:55 here's one example this is a a a guy named Jeff Bender and and he says that his 11-year-old son is now a girl who 12:02 uses she her pronouns and it's all because of the wisdom of his son's 12:07 second grade teacher and now Jeff is going to take his son across state lines to Illinois which is more than three 12:13 hours away to begin a so-called gender affirming care watch

an important thing 12:20 happened to my daughter um we've always known that our daughter um ever since 12:27 she was born she uh was always who she 12:33 was and uh so it didn't come to a surpr a surprise for us to find out when she 12:38 chose to start using uh she her pronouns but the reason she chose she her 12:43 pronouns was because of her second grade teacher and when we limit our 12:49 teachers um access to our kids which they spend more time with our children than we do as parents when we limit that 12:57 access when we limit what they can do and how they can help our our kids grow 13:02 um I can only imagine the hurt and the struggles that some of these kids are going to end up going through but 13:09 because she had a second grade teacher that stepped up and let her know you 13:14 decide who you want to be it's not about what your parents say or your grandparents say you know you so From 13:21 This Moment forth in this school who do you want to be and in second grade my 13:26 daughter chose she her uh my daughter is now 11 and we have our very first 13:32 appointment for our um gender affirming care our Hospital our children's 13:38 hospital here in St Louis was shut down um our doctor was made to flee the state 13:44 and is now working somewhere else and our first appointment is at the end of this month in Peoria Illinois and if 13:52 you're not familiar with the area that is a three-hour drive from our 13:57 house

That's right. His school talked his son into wanting to be a girl. He is greteful to the teacher for usurping a parental role. He is traveling out of state to get the boy castrated.

This is sick on many levels. Usually the moms are the ones doing this, but this is a dad. A comment says:

If I allow my 9 year old grandson to play alone in the front yard, CPS will be at the door, but this is okay?

Matt Walsh says:

of all the pathetic men uh the most pathetic one 14:10 I've ever seen in my life

This is not just the story of one pathetic man. We have Kamala Harris, possibly the next President, who is firmly in favor of this child abuse.

Glenn Greenwald is not a right-winger, and he delevers this devastating criticism of Harris. She must be the most incompetent candidate ever.

Feminization of the Mainstram Media Bubble

Heather MacDonald writes:

Last Tuesday’s vice presidential debate between J. D. Vance and Tim Walz, however, highlighted another aspect of the mainstream media bubble: its feminization. ...

No, it was the choice and presentation of topics that most revealed the feminization of the elite world view. The moderators turned subjects that should have been landmines for the Biden–Harris record into indictments of Trump–Vance. ...

The only thing about which one can be confident is that the feminization of our culture, as manifest in the debate moderators’ line of questioning, will continue apace, no matter which party wins in November. Combatting it will require more than a presidential election.

She illustrates with examples from the debate, but it is a much wider trend.

Bad Therapy: Why the Kids Aren’t Growing Up

Abigail Shrier‘s new book, Bad Therapy: Why the Kids Aren’t Growing Up.

... the book is, in my view, superb, and should be read by every literate adult, whether or not you have children. For it offers not only guidelines for parenting, but also explains why young people in society (as well as adolescents, college students, and young adults) are showing higher rates of anxiety, depression, and mental illness. They are emotionally stuck at about age twelve. And that, says Shrier, is due to “bad therapy”: the rise of an American therapy culture in which every child is constantly assessed, supervised, and psychologized by parents, their schools, and doctors. (It is the schools and doctors, which include therapists, that have convinced parents that their children have psychological problems and need treatment.) The result is that we have one generation (I’d say two or more) that has grown up fragile, solipsistic, afraid to engage with the world, and socially inept.

Here, therapy means psychotherapy. I do not think anyone is criticizing physical or speech therapy.

I have not seen the book, but I do believe that child psychotherapy is almost entirely harmful. My advice is that parents should keep all children away from psychotherapists.

Problem with all the brown people

From a stupid newspaper advice column:

Dear Eric: ... Last night he came out and said, “I really have a problem with all the brown people coming into the country.” ... Should I raise it with him one on one?

It is funny how some old White guy can be so upset by someone expressing an opinion. And the advice-giver agreeing.

The USA has adopted an immigration policy in recent years to bring in millions of brown people. If you have an opinion on this, then maybe you think we bring in too many, or too few. A guy expressed an opinion at an online poker game. Why write for advice?

If someone had a disagreement, he could say so. And he would say so, and not write a letter asking about it.

My guess is that he probably agrees that too many brown people are being imported, but has been brainwashed to object to that opinion being expressed.

The press gives the impression that most people are for increasing immigration, but it is not true. A new poll shows:

Almost two-thirds of registered voters agree that all illegal migrants should be deported, according to a Marist poll of 1,628 adults conducted for the pro-migration National Public Radio network.

The non-white advice giver says:

By saying nothing, you created a safe haven for opinions that you find abhorrent – you all did. And that looks like tacit agreement.

This is an example of the Intolerant Left giving bad advice. Leftists now go around trying to get everyone to terminate friendships with those not holding suitably leftist opinions.

Reasonable people can disagree about immigration levels, and friends should be able to tolerate political disagreement. I would deport the illegal aliens, but not terminate friendships over a political issue.

School Shows why Democracy Fails

AP reports:

As lawmakers voted on a budget deal at the U.S. Capitol, a different kind of balloting was taking place a dozen miles away in a sun-filled Virginia preschool classroom. At stake: which animated dog was the best character on the cartoon “PAW Patrol.” In a heated primary, the 3-and-4-year-old students in room 14 at the ACCA Child Development Center had narrowed it down to two finalists: Chase, a German shepherd who wears a police uniform, and Skye, who wears a pink “pup pack” and is a favorite among girls in the class. The children cast votes by scrawling their names in crayon beneath pictures of the two characters. By mid-morning, it was a dead heat: five votes to five. ...

Back in room 14, there was an important development. Another student named Janet had cast her ballot, writing her name under Skye’s photo with a backwards ‘J.’ The students counted the votes aloud. Skye emerged victorious.

As the article explains, the kids just voted their identity preferences. Janet just voted for the girl.

American-style democracy only really works with English-speaking WASP men. It is not even working very well in America any more. Getting votes is like getting toddlers to choose dogs.

Check out this 30-second Trump ad:

Transcript 0:00 he murdered a father of three. sentenced 0:02 to life in prison, kamla Harris pushed to 0:04 use tax dollars to pay for his sex 0:06 change. "I made sure that they changed the 0:09 policy so that every transgender inmate 0:12 would have access." It sounds insane 0:14 because it is insane. Kamala was the first 0:16 to help pay for a prisoner's sex change. 0:19 "the power that I had I used it in a way 0:21 that was about pushing for the movement 0:23 frankly and the agenda kamala's agenda 0:25 is they them not you I'm Donald J Trump 0:28 and I approve this message

She is pushing for the movement.

Now she has given an interview to the raunchy slut-talk podcast Call Your Daddy, where they talked about abortions the whole time. This must be a new low for Presidential candidates. I think she is locking up the votes of dopey sluts who have had abortions.

NY Principal Failed to Report Sex Rumors

The NY Post reports:

A Pennsylvania high school principal is in hot water for looking the other way during a teacher’s tryst with a student — claiming he didn’t want to ruin the educator’s career.

Mark Patrick Murphy, 42, principal of Lackawanna Trail High School in Clinton Township, allegedly knew about the illegal affair but failed to report it to Childline, the state’s child abuse hotline, despite several complaints from other faculty members, WBRE-TV News reported.

Murphy was told to stay home and is facing a charge of failing to report the abuse, the outlet said.

It would be statutory rape, not child abuse.

An observation:

Though the media is not saying, this must be yet another case of a female teacher having sex with a male student. For one thing, the reverse virtually never happens, because men have the ability to control their sexual urges, and further, the story is that the teachers were complaining to the principal, and if it had been a man having sex with a teen girl, these (almost certainly female) teachers would have just called the police.

What’s more, there is nothing being said about charges against the teacher, which likely means the student was 18.

This is exactly what anyone should do in this situation, morally. Blowing up weird sex scandals and turning them into mass public events is vulgar, lunatic behavior.

No one supports these teacher-student relationships, but women love this and they do it constantly. It’s the law that women have to be allowed to work at schools with teenage boys, so there is simply no way to prevent it from happening. A woman is arrested for this multiple times per week, so obviously the prosecutions are not serving as a deterrent.

The principal just heard some rumors, and it is not clear that he had any legal obligation. Do you really want a state agency collecting all the sex rumors?

If the other teachers had direct evidence of crimes against a child, then they should have notified the parents, and then the police. The article has no indication of any of that happening.

Biden wants Political Payback from Israel

Pres. Joe Biden held his first White House west wing briefing room press conference, and promptly accused the Jews of rigging the election!

London Guardian:

Joe Biden had terse words at the White House on Friday for Benjamin Netanyahu, saying he didn’t know whether the Israeli prime minister was holding up a peace deal in the Middle East – where Israel is at war with Hamas in Gaza and on a military offensive against Hezbollah in Lebanon – in order to influence the outcome of the 2024 US presidential election.

“No administration has helped Israel more than I have. None. None, none. And I think Bibi should remember that,” Biden said, using Netanyahu’s nickname. He added: “And whether he’s trying to influence the election, I don’t know – but I’m not counting on that.”

The US president made a surprise and rare appearance in the west wing briefing room and answered reporters’ questions there for the first time in his presidency.

We sent Israel the weapons for doing genocide on its enemies. It ought to be grateful enough to declare a ceasefire until after the USA election, so the Biden-Harris administration can brag about a foreign policy win.

California Bans College Legacy Admissions

The LA Times

A new law banning legacy and donor admissions at private California universities, including USC and Stanford — among the handful of schools that admit a significant number of children of alumni or donors — was signed Monday by Gov. Gavin Newsom, who said the action will promote equal educational opportunities. “In California, everyone should be able to get ahead through merit, skill, and hard work,” Newsom said in a statement. “The California Dream shouldn’t be accessible to just a lucky few, which is why we’re opening the door to higher education wide enough for everyone, fairly.” The law affects a small number of private institutions in the state that consider family connections in admissions. Others that currently embrace the practice include Santa Clara University and Claremont McKenna and Harvey Mudd colleges.

I went to Princeton University. It scores very highly on US News and other ratings, in part because its graduates speak fondly of it. It is the best college that focuses on undergraduates. At least it used to be.

When I first went there, it was obvious that admissions criteria were very uneven. Many were super-smart scholars in all subjects and ace their classes. Some also got in because they were concert pianists, lacrosse players, or something else. But the strangest category to me were the legacy admissions. I could not see any justification for them.

Later on, one of those legacy admittees invited me to join a gang students attending the Saturday football game. I would not have gone otherwise. Then I discovered that Princeton had school songs, and these guyes knew them. Soon I was regularly attending the football games, singing the school songs, and having fun.

Then it all made sense. Legacy admissions allow a college to maintain a culture that persists over time. Without them, I would not have the same school spirit, or learned the school songs.

This California law seems to be some sort of misguided retaliation for the Supreme Court limits on affirmative action.

I am not sure Princeton is as good as it used to be. It just refused institutional neutrality, and fired a good tenured professor a couple of years ago.

NY Times Endorsement for President

The NY Times endorses you-know-who:

It is hard to imagine a candidate more unworthy to serve as president of the United States than Donald Trump. He has proved himself morally unfit for an office ...

For this reason, regardless of any political disagreements voters might have with her, Kamala Harris is the only patriotic choice for president.

Most presidential elections are, at their core, about two different visions of America that emerge from competing policies and principles. This one is about something more foundational. ...

She may not be the perfect candidate for every voter, especially those who are frustrated and angry about our government’s failures to fix what’s broken — from our immigration system to public schools to housing costs to gun violence.

In other words, they do not like Trump's personality, so ignore all the failures of the Biden-Harris administration.

It is funny how these endorsements avoid talking about Trump's actual Presidential record, where we have four years of peace and prosperity.

I just watched the Vance-Walz debate, and Walz closed by saying that Trump made people afraid, and that FDR was right when he said that all we have to fear is fear itself.

Walz is a moron. He essentially said that some people fear Trump, but there is no reason to fear him. The Dems have no good arguments against Trump, except to spread stupid scare stories.

I understand not liking Trump's personality, or disagreeing with some of his policies.

But to support Harris-Walz as if they were the only ones fit for office is just crazy. Harris and Walz are completely incompetent, and would be Deep State puppets. WHich is what the NY Times wants.

Some people appear to be voting for Harris as the DEI candidate, because she is Black. Why do people think she is Black? The main reason is that she attended a Black college.

Harris's birth certificate says her mother is Caucasian and her father is Jamaican. Candace Owens has tried to trace her Jamaican ancestry, and claims they were Irish slaveowners. Owens subscribes to some dubious conspiracy theories, so I would not take her word for it, but she has posted documents that raise serious questions.

Harris was born in the USA, but her parents were probably not citizens at the time, so it is debatable whether she is even eligible to be President.

Nabka is Word for Arab Wars

I just learned a new word. Wikipedia reports:

The Nakba (Arabic: النَّكْبَة, romanized: an-Nakba, lit. 'the catastrophe') is the ethnic cleansing[2] of Palestinian Arabs through their violent displacement and dispossession of land, property, and belongings, along with the destruction of their society and the suppression of their culture, identity, political rights, and national aspirations.[3] The term is used to describe the events of the 1948 Palestine war in Mandatory Palestine as well as the ongoing persecution and displacement of Palestinians by Israel.[4] As a whole, it covers the fracturing of Palestinian society and the long-running rejection of the right of return for Palestinian refugees and their descendants.[5][6]

During the foundational events of the Nakba in 1948, approximately half of Palestine's predominantly Arab population, or around 750,000 people,[7] were expelled from their homes or made to flee through various violent means, at first by Zionist paramilitaries, and after the establishment of the State of Israel, by its military. Dozens of massacres targeted Palestinian Arabs and over 500 Arab-majority towns, villages, and urban neighborhoods were depopulated,[8] with many of these being either completely destroyed or repopulated by Jews and given new Hebrew names. Israel employed biological warfare against Palestinians by poisoning village wells. By the end of the war, 78% of the total land area of the former Mandatory Palestine was controlled by Israel.

The Palestinian national narrative views the Nakba as a collective trauma that defines their national identity and political aspirations.

Wow, news to me. I thought that the United Nations partitioned Palestine into Jewish and Arab nations in 1947. The Jews accepted that, but the Arabs went to war against the Jews. The Jews did not dispossess anyone, except those who had been waging war against them.

Israel is at war against, and it sure seems to me that the Arabs started it in Oct. 2023. But I am no expert. Maybe I have been brainwashed.

New California Laws on AI and IVF

California keeps regulating things that it has no business with, so this is a surprise:

California Gov. Gavin Newsom vetoed a landmark bill aimed at establishing first-in-the-nation safety measures for large artificial intelligence models Sunday.

The decision is a major blow to efforts attempting to rein in the homegrown industry that is rapidly evolving with little oversight. The bill would have established some of the first regulations on large-scale AI models in the nation and paved the way for AI safety regulations across the country, supporters said.

However he signed some others:

On Sunday, Gov. Gavin Newsom signed SB 729 into law, which requires large group health care service plans to provide coverage for the diagnosis and treatment of infertility and fertility services, including a maximum of three egg retrievals with unlimited embryo transfers.

The new law is also a win for members of the LGBTQ+ community and same-sex couples who want to have children. It broadens the definition of “infertility” to include a person’s inability to reproduce either as an individual or with their partner without medical intervention.

So a pair of homosexual men could say they are infertile, and claim Ivf benefits. So could a single men. He might be fertile, but without a women to carry his baby, he is infertile.

Conflicting Presidential Race Predictions

News:

The feud between historian Allan Lichtman and prognosticator Nate Silver is heating up on social media as Election Day approaches.

Lichtman, an American University professor who has correctly predicted the outcome of nine out of the 10 most recent presidential elections, earlier this month forecasted that the Kamala Harris-Tim Walz ticket would win the White House.

Since then, Silver, a political pollster and founder of FiveThirtyEight, released data showing vice president Harris ahead of former President Donald Trump in the national polling average by nearly three points – 48.9% to 46% – but Trump and vice presidential candidate JD Vance have a 56.2% chance of winning the Electoral College compared to Harris-Walz (43.5%).

On Friday, Silver questioned Lichtman's abilities to read his own 13 keys used to make presidential election calls. "At least 7 of the keys, maybe 8, clearly favor Trump. Sorry brother, but that's what the keys say. Unless you're admitting they're totally arbitrary?" Silver posted on X, the social media site previously known as Twitter.

If Lichtman really had a system, it would be clear how to apply the keys. The keys that supposedly favor Harris are:

3. The White House party avoided a primary contest.
4. There is no third-party challenger.
5. The short-term economy is strong.
6. The long-term economic growth has been as good as the last two terms.
7. The White House party has made major changes to national policy.
8. There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. The White House is untainted by scandal.
11. The challenger is uncharismatic.

All of these are dubious. Trump is charismatic. The Hunter Biden bribery was a major scandal. RFKjr is a third party challenger, and is on the ballot in most states.

The Democrats have no major policy changes, unless you include spending more money. The economy has been okay, but not strong, and inflation has ben bad.

Biden was forced out between the primaries and the convention. Seems like a primary contest to me.