tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post296876843415863442..comments2024-03-28T18:09:31.814-07:00Comments on Singular Values: More crazy attacks on TrumpRogerhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comBlogger9125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-69341433074985660732016-04-04T22:08:46.805-07:002016-04-04T22:08:46.805-07:00No, they've never made any incorrect predictio...No, they've never made any incorrect predictions either. They are analyzing past elections and polls taken at various points in campaigns. Any election could turn out a lot different from tha past. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-31118010778457240782016-04-04T12:56:57.167-07:002016-04-04T12:56:57.167-07:00I looked at the article, and I don't see where...I looked at the article, and I don't see where they have made any correct predictions in the past. If Trump is the nominee, the election could turn out a lot different from the past.Rogerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-26356367333820738412016-04-03T23:21:28.904-07:002016-04-03T23:21:28.904-07:00http://www.vox.com/2016/3/31/11336884/donald-trump...<br />http://www.vox.com/2016/3/31/11336884/donald-trump-polls-winning <br /><br />No, they're not the same experts. I think that you're referring more to the pundits. These are the statistical facts going back to 1952. None of these experts has said anything about Trump ever having a zero chance, or anything like that. A one out of three chance isn't the end of the world for Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-39594082312953628622016-04-03T14:56:19.836-07:002016-04-03T14:56:19.836-07:00Those figures are from the same experts who have b...Those figures are from the same experts who have been confidently predicting that Trump has zero chance of getting the nomination. Why believe them now, when they are been so wrong so far?Rogerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-23063705705098117032016-04-03T11:41:44.655-07:002016-04-03T11:41:44.655-07:00Trump is down double digits in the polls vs. Clint...Trump is down double digits in the polls vs. Clinton and this during a period of the campaign when polling has been 2/3 predictive since 1952. Polls indicate that Trump will capture about 7% more Dem. voters than Clinton will capture Trump voters. Trump doessn't stand a chance. Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-70122117504587090192016-04-02T15:55:19.929-07:002016-04-02T15:55:19.929-07:00I stay away from the abortion issue. Abortion will...I stay away from the abortion issue. Abortion will be legal for the foreseeable future, and these counterfactual hypotheticals do not help much.<br /><br />Yes, Trump could appoint anti-abortion justices. But the pro-abortion faction has at least a 5-3 majority, and probably 6-3 if Obama gets a nominee confirmed. Previous Republican presidents have been willing to appoint pro-abortion justices, Rogerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-43155869938996216222016-04-02T13:11:22.701-07:002016-04-02T13:11:22.701-07:00Are you being serious when you say that you don...<br />Are you being serious when you say that you don't think that women should be punished for murdering their babies ? sorry, I can't tell.<br />If president Trump were to appoint and have confirmed, certain judges to the Supreme Court, then Trump could have a powerful effect on abortion law. Do you think that Trump can change, and change quickly enough, the way he responds to Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-43386284728466149452016-04-02T12:19:52.776-07:002016-04-02T12:19:52.776-07:00If something is going to be illegal, then we have ...If something is going to be illegal, then we have to have punishments that are sufficient to deter the conduct. I agree with that. <br /><br />Realistically, nothing Trump says or does is likely to have any effect on abortion law. It is obviously not a big interest of his, and he has no idea what laws might deter abortion.<br /><br />Debating theoretical counterfactuals is not terribly useful.<brRogerhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03474078324293158376noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3452558.post-1293958172453227942016-04-02T10:54:13.136-07:002016-04-02T10:54:13.136-07:00I don't know if it matters much but Trump said...I don't know if it matters much but Trump said that there should be some sort of "punishmnet" which may sound slightly harsher to some people.<br /><br />Do you agree with Trump that women should be punished for being involved in an illegal act ? Do you agree with Trump that only the doctor should be punished and not the women ? You can't logically, agree with both. People Anonymousnoreply@blogger.com